The Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) has labelled statistics which show two months of deaths below 2019 levels as “modest”, warning of high excess figures.
The latest fortnightly update from the CMI shows the position as at week 32 of 2020 (1-7 August) based on provisional England and Wales deaths data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
CMI mortality projections committee chairman Cobus Daneel said: "For the eighth week running, we see fewer deaths than we might expect at this time of year. However, the numbers involved are modest as the aggregate excess deaths figure remains well above 60,000."
ONS figures show there have been around 61,400 more deaths in the UK from the start of the coronavirus pandemic to 7 August than if mortality rates were similar to those experienced in 2019.
That figure is a decrease of 300 in comparison to CMI's last update, and a decrease of around 3,200 from a peak recorded in mid-June after 11 weeks of lockdown.
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